Georgian population to decline dramatically says demographic expert

The current population of Georgia is 4.4 million according to the National Statistics Office of Georgia. The United Nations Organization registers 4.2 million. Sociology expert, Giorgi Tsuladze of the Institute of Demography and Sociology at Ilia State University, disagrees with both estimates, maintaining it’s closer to 3.8 million. He estimates that it will decrease to 3.5 million by 2015-2020.

In 1990 the number of live births in Georgia was over 92,000. By 2002-2003 it decreased to 40,000, the lowest number in the last 20 years. By 2009, the National Statistics Office, the number of births reached 63,000 but fell in 2010 to 61,000. Tsuladze thinks the live birth ratio could be 300,000 per year if each family had over ten children. But given the socio-economic situation, the average maximum is three children.

The Director of the Institute of Demography and Sociology, Avtandil Sulaberidze, states that another factor for the expected decrease of live births in the country could be the divorce ratio. Since 1990 the number of divorces in Georgia before five years of marriage was decreasing, but the number of divorces after 20 years of marriage was increasing. In 2005 the number of divorces after 20 years of marriage was 23% of all divorces and the largest proportion, although it dropped to 20% by 2010.

The Georgian population rose from 4 million in the 1950s to a peak of 5.5 million in 1992 a year after independence. Then the trend changed and the population began to decline. As a portion of the population, Georgia was named the largest emigration country in the world in the 2007 World Bank report. The 2002 population census in Georgia revealed a net migration loss of 1.1 million persons since the early 1990s, or 20% of the population. The decline in Georgia's population was mainly due to the emigration of ethnic minorities. The United Nations Organization recorded over 300,000 Russians, 200,000 Georgians, 200,000 Armenians, 85,000 Greeks, 50,000 Azerbaijanis, 50,000 Ukrainians and 20,000 Jews migrated from Georgia since independence.

While Tsuladze predicts a dramatic decline in the population to 3.5 million by 2015-2020, he predicts a better future. He estimates that Georgia's population will increase by 2030 despite the high rate of migration (which he predicts will continue until 2050.)

Comments

Pir-E-Kamil - The Perfect Mentor by Umera Ahmed: book review

The Perfect Mentor pbuh (2011) is set in Lahore and Islamabad in Pakistan. The novel commences with Imama Mubeen in medical university. She wants to be an eye specialist. Her parents have arranged for her to marry her first cousin Asjad. Salar Sikander, her neighbour, is 18 years old with an IQ of 150+ and a photographic memory. He has long hair tied in a ponytail. He imbibes alcohol, treats women disrespectfully and is generally a “weird chap” and a rude, belligerent teenager. In the past three years he has tried to commit suicide three times. He tries again. Imama and her brother, Waseem, answer the servant’s call to help Salar. They stop the bleeding from his wrist and save his life. Imama and Asjad have been engaged for three years, because she wants to finish her studies first. Imama is really delaying her marriage to Asjad because she loves Jalal Ansar. She proposes to him and he says yes. But he knows his parents won’t agree, nor will Imama’s parents. That

Flaws in the Glass, a self-portrait by Patrick White: book review

The manuscript, Flaws in the Glass (1981), is Patrick Victor Martindale White’s autobiography. White, born in 1912 in England, migrated to Sydney, Australia, when he was six months old. For three years, at the age of 20, he studied French and German literature at King’s College at the University of Cambridge in England. Throughout his life, he published 12 novels. In 1957 he won the inaugural Miles Franklin Literary Award for Voss, published in 1956. In 1961, Riders in the Chariot became a best-seller, winning the Miles Franklin Literary Award. In 1973, he was the first Australian author to be awarded the Nobel Prize for Literature for The Eye of the Storm, despite many critics describing his works as ‘un-Australian’ and himself as ‘Australia’s most unreadable novelist.’ In 1979, The Twyborn Affair was short-listed for the Booker Prize, but he withdrew it from the competition to give younger writers the opportunity to win the award. His autobiography, Flaws in the Glass

The Beggars' Strike by Aminata Sow Fall: book review

The Beggar’sStrike (1979 in French and 1981 in English) is set in an unstated country in West Africa in a city known only as The Capital. Undoubtedly, Senegalese author Sow Fall writes of her own experiences. It was also encapsulated in the 2000 film, Battu , directed by Cheick Oumar Sissoko from Mali. Mour Ndiaye is the Director of the Department of Public Health and Hygiene, with the opportunity of a distinguished and coveted promotion to Vice-President of the Republic. Tourism has declined and the government blames the local beggars in The Capital. Ndiaye must rid the streets of beggars, according to a decree from the Minister. Ndiaye instructs his department to carry out weekly raids. One of the raids leads to the death of lame beggar, Madiabel, who ran into an oncoming vehicle as he tried to escape, leaving two wives and eight children. Soon after, another raid resulted in the death of the old well-loved, comic beggar Papa Gorgui Diop. Enough is enou

FEAST OR FAMINE

Search This Blog